Monday, August 21, 2006

2006 Election Projection

While it is still incredibly early yet, I thought it interesting to look at the early polling for the mid-terms nationally. While a lot of primary races haven't been decided yet, it appears that the Republicans will maintain control over both houses, but that the Democrats will control more state governorships.

The Senate will be a nail-biter for both sides, with a number of races (notably PA, MT, OH, RI, MO for the R's, and MD, WA & NJ, and perhaps MN for the D's) looking very close. Dems have been looking to the open TN seat (Ford) for a pick up as well, but the data don't support that right now.

House looks like about a 7-8 seat Democatic pick-up -- no diasaster for the GOP, but unwelcome news on the spending front for economic libertarians like myself. Of course, if the R's would actually govern like they campaign, they might not be having this problem.

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