http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2006/03/last_weeks_myths_about_2006.html
Interesting article on national (Congressional) politics and the conventional wisdom that the 2006 mid-term elections could be seen as a shift towards a Democratic majority in at least one house.
The author disputes the notion using empirical evidence from the recent past -- poll numbers that have been generally inaccurate on election day and the power of incumbancy (namely, name recognition) trend strongly towards the staus quo.
Although I suspect that the Dems will pick up some seats, they will have a difficult time picking up enough for a majority in either house.
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